← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $38.5k on Norway, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.5k
BUY Norway @ 36¢ · 106,173 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet mtoshi took Norway (buy) for $38.5k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.5k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+176American odds
$1.00paid per share if Norway wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 36.3%
- As American odds
- +176 no vig
- Size
- $38.5k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 17:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mtoshi
- Tx
- 0xf433d55c…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -36 ptsNorway price · entry 36¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $148.5k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $168.7k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |