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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY No @ 99.1¢ · 13,686 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet hild took No (buy) for $13.6k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 99.1%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Jun 06, 18:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hild
- Tx
- 0xefddb42d…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-2.9 pts
expected 5.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $51.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $109.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded |