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What this means. A wallet put $22.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.8k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet MZeller1559 took Yes (buy) for $22.8k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $22.8k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 19:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MZeller1559
- Tx
- 0xefb73b6a…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-0.2 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsYes price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 93.4¢ | $96.7k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $37.1k | excluded |