← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 52,650 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet blkmont took No (buy) for $50.0k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1887American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- As American odds
- −1887 no vig
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 15:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- blkmont
- Tx
- 0xef16b313…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-14.3 pts
expected 6.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.3k | excluded |