← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $42.8k on not Iowa Hawkeyes, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.8k
SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 23¢ · 182,744 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet TheOneto3 took Iowa Hawkeyes (sell) for $42.8k at an average 23¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Illinois Fighting Illini. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $42.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 23¢
- Implied odds
- 76.6%
- As American odds
- −327 no vig
- Size
- $42.8k
- Placed
- Mar 28, 18:10 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 28, 18:09 EDT
- Result
- Illinois Fighting Illini
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- TheOneto3
- Tx
- 0xedcb7b0f…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-13.0 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +23 ptsIowa Hawkeyes price · entry 23¢ · resolved Illinois Fighting Illini · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | MED SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 76¢ | $87.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 75¢ | $12.9k | excluded |