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What this means. A wallet put $29.0k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Magic (-1.5)excluded
$29.0k
BUY Magic @ 51¢ · 56,862 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Jokerxing7 took Magic (buy) for $29.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $29.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$29.0k
Placed
Oct 23, 18:51 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
Result
Timberwolves
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Jokerxing7
Tx
0xedc19eca…
This wallet's graded record
3/8-10.1 pts
expected 3.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Magic price · entry 51¢ · resolved Timberwolves
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $29.0k WHALE $29.0K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Magic (-1.5)LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 49¢ $10.2k49% para-Vision13h agoexcluded
Spread: Magic (-1.5)MED BUY Magic @ 52¢ $57.2k52% Talvez10 PROVEN13h agoexcluded
Spread: Magic (-1.5)LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 49¢ $39.2k49% 0x2c33…056313h agoexcluded
Spread: Magic (-1.5)MED BUY Magic @ 51¢ $33.7k51% BreakTheBank PROVEN14h agoexcluded