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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY Yes @ 7.2¢ · 165,923 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet johndegen took Yes (buy) for $12.0k at an average 7.2¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 7¢ means
7%chance the market gave
+1288American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 7.2¢
- Implied odds
- 7.2%
- As American odds
- +1288 no vig
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 11:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- johndegen
- Tx
- 0xecaecc83…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+8.8 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |