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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?missed
$11.8k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 23,984 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther

What happened

Wallet THEHIGHLIFE took Yes (buy) for $11.8k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
Size
$11.8k
Placed
May 30, 12:06 EDT
Market close
May 30, 18:09 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
THEHIGHLIFE
Tx
0xebb618ce…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-49.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -49 pts
Yes price · entry 49¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $11.8k WHALE $11.8K @ 49¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.3k0% Yespote147d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.6k0% strike123147d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $19.0k0% ssd313 NEW147d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.0k
3.7× usual
0% alpheclabs147d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.3k100% NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO147d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $19.9k54% ygggg1147d agomissed