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What this means. A wallet put $23.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
$23.4k
SELL No @ 85¢ · 27,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet TealV took No (sell) for $23.4k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $23.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
85¢
Implied odds
15.0%
Size
$23.4k
Placed
Feb 24, 10:35 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TealV
Tx
0xe930a775…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-9.7 pts
expected 3.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% digitest238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $39.3k0% MajidJavadi238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $222.0k100% BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.0k100% Hans323238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $22.9k0% Whylik238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% lionss238d agoexcluded