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Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?excluded$13.8k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 20,358 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $13.8k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Oct 02, 14:52 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 02, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xe8a23226…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsYes price · entry 68¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.83M | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $66.2k | called |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $976.2k | called |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $94.8k 2.3× usual |
missed |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $27.2k | missed |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $11.4k | missed |