← Live flags
Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenAwaiting resolution
$50.2k
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
pakukudolphi bought Yes at 99.5¢. The price gave that side a 99% chance. 50,511 shares, Oct 29, 13:37 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $50.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet pakukudolphi bought Yes for $50.2k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied 99% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $50.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19066American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.4 ptsYes price · entry 99.5¢ · now 99.1¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $37.2k | OpenAwaiting resolution |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.7¢ | $12.1k | OpenAwaiting resolution |