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What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.4 pts over 57 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
BUY Yes @ 76¢ · 30,048 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $22.9k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−319American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 76.1%
- As American odds
- −319 no vig
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 15:28 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xe82559a8…
This wallet's graded record
30/57-1.4 pts
expected 30.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsYes price · entry 76¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.6¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $16.1k | excluded |