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What this means. A wallet put $26.4k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)excluded
$26.4k
BUY Argentina @ 44¢ · 60,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xf751…fec8 took Argentina (buy) for $26.4k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Jordan. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $26.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
44¢
Implied odds
44.0%
As American odds
+127 no vig
Size
$26.4k
Placed
Jun 27, 21:34 EDT
Market close
Jun 27, 22:00 EDT
Result
Jordan
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xf751…fec8
Tx
0xe80597f2…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-35.2 pts
expected 3.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -44 pts
Argentina price · entry 44¢ · resolved Jordan
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 44¢ · $26.4k WHALE $26.4K @ 44¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)LOW SELL Jordan @ 73¢ $10.0k27% Woaifacai118d agoexcluded
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)LOW BUY Jordan @ 61¢ $42.7k61% Woaifacai118d agoexcluded
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)LOW BUY Argentina @ 70¢ $17.3k70% User1244322118d agoexcluded
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)LOW SELL Argentina @ 71¢ $14.8k29% letitride247118d agoexcluded
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)LOW BUY Argentina @ 44¢ $35.2k44% huli3882118d agoexcluded
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)LOW BUY Jordan @ 57¢ $12.4k57% odsowner118d agoexcluded