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What this means. A wallet put $949.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?called
$949.1k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 1,464,495 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hFresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet 0xbda2…5689 took Yes (buy) for $949.1k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $949.1k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−184American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
65¢
Implied odds
64.8%
As American odds
−184 no vig
Size
$949.1k
Placed
Aug 31, 13:10 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xbda2…5689
Tx
0xe7ae1646…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +35 pts
Yes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 65¢ · $949.1k WHALE $949.1K @ 65¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.46M0% 0xbda2…5689 NEW53d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $53.0k0% NiNo99953d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW SELL Yes @ 83¢ $17.2k17% unbeatable153d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $11.4k83% ProfessionalPunter53d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $11.7k56% unbeatable153d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW BUY No @ 37¢ $12.3k37% WINSONS53d agoexcluded