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What this means. A wallet put $31.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?excluded
$31.3k
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ · 31,518 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hOther

What happened

Wallet Sarumantheyellow took Yes (buy) for $31.3k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $31.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−17721American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
99.4%
Size
$31.3k
Placed
Jul 31, 15:52 EDT
Market close
Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Sarumantheyellow
Tx
0xe646a4c1…

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
Yes price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $31.3k WHALE $31.3K @ 99.4¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.7k100% Warren-Buffett82d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $28.9k0% LulaVaiPerder82d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $13.3k0% 6576575782d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $15.4k0% LulaVaiPerder82d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $12.0k0% MissaoComFlavio82d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $51.9k
4.0× usual
0% MissaoComFlavio82d agoexcluded