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What this means. A wallet put $18.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+5.3 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.2k
BUY No @ 77¢ · 23,694 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took No (buy) for $18.2k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−333American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 76.9%
- Size
- $18.2k
- Placed
- Jul 29, 13:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0xe58a0c20…
This wallet's graded record
17/25+5.3 pts
expected 15.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $68.8k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $264.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |