spongebob

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?+$8No · avg 25¢ → 26¢ · $207

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$19.7k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$8,445

Last 30 days −$120 · $270.9k volume · 224 trades · since Feb 10, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$7,618

Open P&L · 9 positions

−$815

Closed-position win rate

33%

36 closed

Wallet age · markets

255d

45 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$19.7k	0%	86d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$19.7k

LOW spongebob · 86d ago

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