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What this means. A wallet put $35.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.3k
BUY No @ 70¢ · 50,471 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet defillama7 took No (buy) for $35.3k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- Size
- $35.3k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 10:12 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 27, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- defillama7
- Tx
- 0xe4fac7a2…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-23.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +1.5 ptsNo price · entry 70¢ · now 72¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $18.5k | pending | |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $16.3k | pending | |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $14.6k | pending | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $30.0k | pending | |
| LOW BUY No @ 72¢ | $17.8k | pending | |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $17.8k | pending |