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What this means. A wallet put $50.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.2k
BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ · 51,458 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.4× this wallet's usual betCrypto
What happened
Wallet 999ww took Yes (buy) for $50.2k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−3978American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.5¢
- Implied odds
- 97.5%
- Size
- $50.2k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 08:51 EST
- Market close
- Mar 29, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 999ww
- Tx
- 0xe4ebf9c5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-39.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $30.7k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $39.2k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $10.3k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $11.1k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $15.6k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | missed |