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What this means. A wallet put $2.71M on No, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.71M
BUY No @ 63¢ · 4,306,905 shares in 24 fills
Size ≥ $250k24 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet lovelystuff took No (buy) for $2.71M at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 63% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $2.71M+3
24 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 63¢ means
63%chance the market gave
−170American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 63.0%
- As American odds
- −170 no vig
- Size
- $2.71M
- Placed
- May 30, 11:59 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- lovelystuff
- Tx
- 0xe2cf20e8…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+2.5 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +37 ptsNo price · entry 63¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $63.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded |