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What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.2k
BUY No @ 39¢ · 39,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet maxgreen took No (buy) for $15.2k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- As American odds
- +156 no vig
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- May 19, 12:12 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 14:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- maxgreen
- Tx
- 0xe2c524a8…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-13.8 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +61 ptsNo price · entry 39¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $46.0k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.7k | excluded |