← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $25.3k on Ben Shelton, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.3k
BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ · 110,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Ben Shelton (buy) for $25.3k at an average 23¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved Ben Shelton, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 23¢ means
23%chance the market gave
+335American odds
$1.00paid per share if Ben Shelton wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 23¢
- Implied odds
- 23.0%
- As American odds
- +335 no vig
- Size
- $25.3k
- Placed
- Sep 08, 20:51 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Ben Shelton
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xe0fd5e6b…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +77 ptsBen Shelton price · entry 23¢ · resolved Ben Shelton
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 89¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 45¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 63¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 59¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Carlos Alcaraz | $15.6k | 78¢ | 46d ago |