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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?missed
$10.6k
BUY Yes @ 8¢ · 131,891 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0x25db…28de took Yes (buy) for $10.6k at an average 8¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 8¢ means
8%chance the market gave
+1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
8¢
Implied odds
8.0%
Size
$10.6k
Placed
Aug 01, 22:06 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x25db…28de
Tx
0xdfefb35e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-8.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k0% KiernanMeister48d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.7k0% Paul97397350d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% MsTKyB1 NEW50d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.9k0% Lisbon51d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% ANGGGuess51d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% stupid2251d agoexcluded