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Commanders vs. 49ersmissed
What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on Commanders, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Commanders vs. 49ersmissed$11.0k
BUY Commanders @ 22¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN took Commanders (buy) for $11.0k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved 49ers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 22¢ means
22%chance the market gave
+355American odds
$1.00paid per share if Commanders wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 22¢
- Implied odds
- 22.0%
- As American odds
- +355 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Oct 19, 14:54 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 19, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- 49ers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
- Tx
- 0xdd04c71f…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-1.3 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -22 ptsCommanders price · entry 22¢ · resolved 49ers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 28¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 66¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 31¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW SELL 49ers @ 86¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 10¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 94.6¢ | $10.0k | excluded |