← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $22.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.3k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 42,070 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x5966…f804 took No (buy) for $22.3k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $22.3k
- Placed
- May 16, 10:52 EDT
- Market close
- May 16, 10:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x5966…f804
- Tx
- 0xdcf66e8b…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-10.0 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |