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What this means. A wallet put $46.8k on not England, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.8k
SELL England @ 36¢ · 129,891 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took England (sell) for $46.8k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $46.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $46.8k
- Placed
- Jul 16, 18:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 18, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0xdcb9dbaa…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -64 ptsEngland price · entry 36¢ · resolved England · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $213.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |