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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on not Spurs, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesmissed
$12.8k
SELL Spurs @ 64¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet redvinny took Spurs (sell) for $12.8k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
64¢
Implied odds
36.0%
As American odds
+178 no vig
Size
$12.8k
Placed
May 13, 13:59 EDT
Market close
May 15, 00:00 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
redvinny
Tx
0xdc78f7e0…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -36 pts
Spurs price · entry 64¢ · resolved Spurs · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 64¢ · $12.8k WHALE $12.8K @ 64¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% blket161d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $19.4k0% mirroredtrade-RocWins161d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.7¢ $24.1k100% Countrysid161d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $67.7k100% Aceplus2161d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $69.9k100% zvon3161d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.8¢ $11.9k100% Jackenxand161d agoexcluded