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What this means. A wallet put $22.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.8k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 24,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x4f9e…9aa0 took No (buy) for $22.8k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $22.8k
- Placed
- Jun 02, 15:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4f9e…9aa0
- Tx
- 0xdba7c7a9…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-87.0 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $51.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $109.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded |