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Spurs vs. Thundermissed
What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thundermissed$14.8k
SELL Thunder @ 67¢ · 22,074 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet ChloeT1 took Thunder (sell) for $14.8k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $14.8k
- Placed
- May 20, 10:54 EDT
- Market close
- May 20, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ChloeT1
- Tx
- 0xda2e0531…
This wallet's graded record
10/12+16.9 pts
expected 8.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -33 ptsThunder price · entry 67¢ · resolved Thunder · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $42.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.6¢ | $86.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | HIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $254.9k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 88¢ | $17.6k | excluded |