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Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $202.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded$202.6k
BUY No @ 24¢ · 848,916 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gambamaster took No (buy) for $202.6k at an average 24¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $202.6k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 24¢ means
24%chance the market gave
+319American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 24¢
- Implied odds
- 23.9%
- As American odds
- +319 no vig
- Size
- $202.6k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 17:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gambamaster
- Tx
- 0xd9f596df…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+27.4 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -24 ptsNo price · entry 24¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $205.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |