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Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $40.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded$40.8k
SELL Yes @ 79¢ · 51,755 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet n.maga took Yes (sell) for $40.8k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 21.2%
- As American odds
- +371 no vig
- Size
- $40.8k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 16:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- n.maga
- Tx
- 0xd748d2cd…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +79 ptsYes price · entry 79¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $48.1k | excluded |