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Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Endgametheory took No (sell) for $20.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 18:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Endgametheory
- Tx
- 0xc608d727…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+65.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $20.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $48.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 15¢ | $13.5k | excluded |