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What this means. A wallet put $49.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.4k
BUY No @ 82¢ · 60,387 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet debased took No (buy) for $49.4k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−448American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 81.8%
- As American odds
- −448 no vig
- Size
- $49.4k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 13:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- debased
- Tx
- 0xd6f22397…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsNo price · entry 82¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |