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What this means. A wallet put $51.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$51.6k
BUY Yes @ 72¢ · 72,002 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet flawfence took Yes (buy) for $51.6k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $51.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−253American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 71.7%
- Size
- $51.6k
- Placed
- Jun 08, 01:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- flawfence
- Tx
- 0xd65ed71a…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+23.7 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $146.5k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |