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Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $214.3k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded$214.3k
BUY Thunder @ 69¢ · 310,682 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet4.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Thunder (buy) for $214.3k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $214.3k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−222American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 69.0%
- As American odds
- −222 no vig
- Size
- $214.3k
- Placed
- May 18, 20:34 EDT
- Market close
- May 18, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0xd3898d9a…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -69 ptsThunder price · entry 69¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Thunder | MED SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $599.4k 11.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $60.4k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | HIGH SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $284.2k 3.4× usual |
excluded |