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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$83.5k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
denizz sold No at 92.7¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 7% chance. 90,068 shares, Oct 29, 13:31 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $83.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet denizz sold No for $83.5k at an average 92.7¢. At that price the market implied 7% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $83.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.8 ptsNo price · entry 92.7¢ · now 93.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $19.8k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $56.2k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |