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Polymarket · Other · one bet

OpenResolves Dec 31
$56.2k

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

denizz bought No at 95¢. The price gave that side a 95% chance. 59,166 shares, Oct 28, 20:41 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $56.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet denizz bought No for $56.2k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied 95% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $56.2k+1
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
No price · entry 95¢ · now 95.5¢
90¢94¢98¢ Whale entry 95¢ · $56.2k WHALE $56.2K @ 95¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.