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What this means. A wallet put $363.6k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)excluded
$363.6k
BUY Spurs @ 48¢ · 757,453 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250k7 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Spurs (buy) for $363.6k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $363.6k+3
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$363.6k
Placed
Apr 04, 14:34 EDT
Market close
Apr 04, 15:00 EDT
Result
Nuggets
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x4924…3782
Tx
0xd045a1b2…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Spurs price · entry 48¢ · resolved Nuggets
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $363.6k WHALE $363.6K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% shan73662202d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $92.9k0% 0x8a6c…0b3f202d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW SELL Spurs @ 62¢ $12.7k38% bubulalala202d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW BUY Nuggets @ 53¢ $48.6k53% 0x8a6c…0b3f202d agoexcluded