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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on not Spurs, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)excluded
$12.7k
SELL Spurs @ 62¢ · 20,537 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet bubulalala took Spurs (sell) for $12.7k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
38.0%
As American odds
+163 no vig
Size
$12.7k
Placed
Apr 04, 16:29 EDT
Market close
Apr 04, 15:00 EDT
Result
Nuggets
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
bubulalala
Tx
0x7008d455…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+36.5 pts
expected 1.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +62 pts
Spurs price · entry 62¢ · resolved Nuggets · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $12.7k WHALE $12.7K @ 62¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% shan73662202d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $92.9k0% 0x8a6c…0b3f202d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW BUY Nuggets @ 53¢ $48.6k53% 0x8a6c…0b3f203d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)HIGH BUY Spurs @ 48¢ $363.6k48% 0x4924…3782203d agoexcluded