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What this means. A wallet put $33.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$33.2k
BUY No @ 60¢ · 55,353 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet grokbet took No (buy) for $33.2k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $33.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$33.2k
Placed
Jun 17, 18:08 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 19:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
grokbet
Tx
0xcf1f366c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-68.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -60 pts
No price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $33.2k WHALE $33.2K @ 60¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $82.1k
2.2× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf129d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $149.3k0% Trevor99129d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
3.6× usual
0% NiNo999129d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.3k0% pot.of.greed129d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ $17.2k99% blkmont129d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ $10.7k3% NO.9kami129d agoexcluded