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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -68.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-68.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$240.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.56M volume · 2,895 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$660.2k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$671.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
9 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -68.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $61.0k | missed |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | MED BUY No @ 50¢ | $68.9k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $77.0k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x34cbf72ac46538f53d3ced17d01796173edfe9fd"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x34cbf72ac46538f53d3ced17d01796173edfe9fd.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x34cbf7…