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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 7
$25.5k

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

okcoolstorybro sold Yes at 12¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 88% chance. 209,789 shares, Oct 29, 13:47 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet okcoolstorybro sold Yes for $25.5k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied 88% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $25.5k+1
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -5.0 pts
Yes price · entry 12¢ · now 17¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
9¢15¢22¢ Whale entry 12¢ · $25.5k WHALE $25.5K @ 12¢ -5 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?MED SELL No @ 80¢ $73.9k20% okcoolstorybro9h agoOpenResolves Nov 7
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?MED SELL No @ 81¢ $26.9k19% dontshowmyname9h agoOpenResolves Nov 7