Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

dontshowmyname sold No at 81¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 19% chance. 33,000 shares, Oct 29, 13:38 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $26.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet dontshowmyname sold No for $26.9k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied 19% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $26.9k+1

Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1

Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.7 pts

No price · entry 81¢ · now 83¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

JD Vance letter may offer last chance to avert fresh conflict between US and IranThe Guardian · Google News · 5h ago President Trump coming to Corpus Christi, Vice President J.D. Vance no longer making visit - KRIS 6 News Corpus ChristiGoogle News · Google News · 7h ago JD Vance to make appearance in St. CloudSt. Cloud Times · Google News · 7h ago JD Vance heading to St. Cloud for fraud press conference on Friday - 5 EYEWITNESS NEWSGoogle News · Google News · 9h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	LOW SELL Yes @ 12¢	$25.5k	88%	okcoolstorybro	7h ago	OpenResolves Nov 7
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	MED SELL No @ 80¢	$73.9k	20%	okcoolstorybro	7h ago	OpenResolves Nov 7

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?OpenResolves Nov 7

SELL Yes @ 12¢$25.5k

LOW okcoolstorybro · 7h ago