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What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.3k
SELL Yes @ 74¢ · 26,148 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet Yalokin took Yes (sell) for $19.3k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 26.0%
- Size
- $19.3k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 05:09 EST
- Market close
- Feb 07, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Yalokin
- Tx
- 0xcea44c7b…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-47.2 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $54.5k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.7k | excluded |