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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
$11.8k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 11,888 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet wkmfa518 took No (sell) for $11.8k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.5¢
Implied odds
0.5%
Size
$11.8k
Placed
Dec 17, 07:06 EST
Market close
Dec 31, 18:55 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wkmfa518
Tx
0xcdbcbe19…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+5.8 pts
expected 1.9 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.6k100% rwo296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% onekey09296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% 0x7441…5ed5296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% jwp9999296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $64.9k0% 0xf120…9321296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $118.0k0% 0x5e91…1717296d agoexcluded