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Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 11,888 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet wkmfa518 took No (sell) for $11.8k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 0.5%
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Dec 17, 07:06 EST
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wkmfa518
- Tx
- 0xcdbcbe19…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+5.8 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |