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What this means. A wallet put $21.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.3k
BUY Yes @ 87¢ · 24,479 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took Yes (buy) for $21.3k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−669American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 87.0%
- Size
- $21.3k
- Placed
- Jun 08, 22:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0xcc4fd040…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $146.5k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |