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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
$14.7k
BUY No @ 35¢ · 42,108 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 4gibg4i3o took No (buy) for $14.7k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
As American odds
+186 no vig
Size
$14.7k
Placed
Mar 01, 11:33 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 11:30 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
4gibg4i3o
Tx
0xcbfc6e5c…

Entry to resolution

Grade -35 pts
No price · entry 35¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 35¢ · $14.7k WHALE $14.7K @ 35¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 0x3ae5…ead2237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% praktor237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $152.8k
8.3× usual
0% 0xeac4…c1dd237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% coinlaundry237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% cy14237d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% hanlun237d agoexcluded