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Spread: Brazil (-3.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Brazil, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)excluded$10.2k
BUY Brazil @ 77¢ · 13,307 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Brazil (buy) for $10.2k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Haiti. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−335American odds
$1.00paid per share if Brazil wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 77.0%
- As American odds
- −335 no vig
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 21:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Haiti
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xcae9639d…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -77 ptsBrazil price · entry 77¢ · resolved Haiti
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | LOW BUY Haiti @ 80¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | LOW BUY Brazil @ 34¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | MED BUY Haiti @ 69¢ | $28.3k | excluded |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | MED BUY Brazil @ 33¢ | $66.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | MED BUY Brazil @ 31¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | MED BUY Haiti @ 69¢ | $34.1k | called |