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What this means. A wallet put $300.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?excluded
$300.0k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 625,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet nb1985 took Yes (buy) for $300.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $300.0k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$300.0k
Placed
Oct 11, 11:22 EDT
Market close
Oct 11, 11:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
nb1985
Tx
0xca575737…

Entry to resolution

Grade +52 pts
Yes price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $300.0k WHALE $300.0K @ 48¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $42.4k
2.5× usual
0% Poeloep13d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% dupple-bot13d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $32.7k
2.0× usual
0% Ksi17213d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?MED SELL Yes @ 95.5¢ $33.0k4% 0x9e3e…f88213d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ $22.8k2% TB1413d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ $40.0k98% thegreatjeff13d agoexcluded