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What this means. A wallet put $25.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
$25.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 25,450 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet 0x0f09…5cd0 took No (sell) for $25.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$25.3k
Placed
Nov 28, 06:24 EST
Market close
Dec 09, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x0f09…5cd0
Tx
0xc9c4354f…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $25.3k WHALE $25.3K @ 99.6¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $1.42M
27.5× usual
100% 0xdd57…694d321d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $368.9k
7.1× usual
100% 0xdd57…694d321d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $35.4k0% madril321d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $93.1k100% 0xdd57…694d321d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $531.0k
10.3× usual
100% 0xdd57…694d321d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $35.4k100% madril321d agoexcluded